I have lately participated in a discussion concerning our energy future
which is fascinating in what it reveals about our modern dilemma. There
are decisions hanging in the balance today which will have enormous
impact on our future, and even those of us who are well informed and
well intentioned can reasonably hold passionately opposite views
while most of the populace doesnt understand and a whole slew
dont really care as long as the lights come on and the bills dont
swamp them.
The debate has evolved out of Bushs desire to drill for oil in
the Arctic National Wildlife Reserve (ANWR) and the electricity crunch
in California. The former governor is using Californias woes as
his latest reason for Alaskan drilling (a typical ploy just
as he campaigned for a tax cut because the economy was splendid and
now says we need a tax cut because we might recess anything
to justify his druthers).
The current discussion engrosses me because it does not pit enemies
of the environment versus enemies of the Oily Prince, but has occurred
between two sets of environmentalists. Both sides seek remediation of
the carbon build-up causing global climate change. On the one side a
proponent of fuel cells powered by liquified petroleum gas suggests
that ANWR could provide the fuel for a new generation of low-emission
power plants. On the other hand, a proponent of solar power claims that
fossil fueled fuel cells are inefficient and will only modestly decrease
emissions while continuing the despoliation caused by the petrochemical
industries.
I am somewhat better equipped to evaluate this debate than many, having
lived off the grid for over 20 years (photovoltaic), having read widely
on both energy, environmental, economic and political issues and history
and having written about them for over a decade - but I am confused
by the opposing claims. I, like probably 99 percent of the population,
dont have the technical knowledge to evaluate them.
The solar proponents viewpoint makes more practical sense to me,
based on my experience with photovoltaic power and my memory. While
the opposing arguments may be grounded in fact and practicality, they
make the fuel cells in question sound almost too good to be true. This
reminds me of claims in the 1950s that nuclear power would soon be too
cheap to meter, viewed against our current realization that it will
remain too expensive to be borne for millennia. On the other hand, Amory
Lovins, at the Rocky Mountain Institute, believes hydrogen fuel cells
are the ticket, and I am unaware of his being wrong on any energy question
since he helped convince me to leave the grid. (Lovins is clearly in
the 1 percent who understands this stuff.)
Then again, Lovins advocates hydrogen fuel cells with natural gas fuel
cells as an interim step. Does an interim step justify despoiling more
of the Arctic - particularly when estimated reserves there amount to
only a 200-day supply for this country?
I know from the start that my preferred solution - that we all cut back
our carbon emissions by the 60-70 percent suggested by the United Nations
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change now, by curbing our energy
use radically - is a non-starter. People are too accustomed to comforts
that have become necessities and the money and power involved
are too great. So some sort of large scale shift that maintains the
current profligacy will presumably occur. If petroleum powered fuel
cells are the next step, the implications are enormous.
I have seen the Alaska pipeline and the damaged boreal tundra, I have
walked amidst oil-soaked sea birds and dead seals on the Pacific coast.
The prospect of further drilling in the Arctic and more leaky pipes
and tankers frightens me viscerally. I simply dont believe the
promises that it can be done cleanly. Show me one example,
I say.
On the other hand, there is an infrastructure for petroleum and gas
distribution, and a shift to photovoltaic and wind generation will take
enormous investment (the grid is there - but the jump in hardware production
would be huge). Fuel cells, a proven technology dating to the 1850s,
are being embraced by auto, electronic, electric and manufacturing concerns
as the next big step.
Answers are imperative. At this point I still oppose ANWR drilling.
But, then, where will we get the gas?
Wyoming, someone said. At least there, Dick Cheneys
new neighbors will make him explain the mess.
Bothwell is author of Gorillas in the Myth: A Duck Soup Reader, and
editor of the Warren Wilson College environmental journal, Heartstone.